TheBulkLab

Monthly brief — September 2026

Five supply chains moved this month.

When a country restricts an export or a refinery goes idle, it shows up in customs declarations months before anyone writes about it. We track 15 mineral and chemical inputs and report the flows that actually changed.

Coverage Korea and US customs · 6 shipping origins observed · EU in progress

Customs data records the last country of shipment, not the mine or plant of origin. Refining and transshipment hubs can appear as top origins.

Industrial chemicals · HS 290243 · 202607

Paraxylene

Concentrated
  • Japan 100.0%
  • United States 0.0%
  • China 0.0%
100% Japan 100%
United States 0%
China 0%
Shipping origins observed
3
Effective routes
1
Observed through
Korea

관측 신고국 1/2 — 커버리지 제한

Specialty chemicals · HS 252921 · 202607

Fluorspar

Concentrated
  • China 100.0%
100% China 100%
Shipping origins observed
1
Effective routes
1
Observed through
Korea

관측 신고국 1/2 — 커버리지 제한

Specialty chemicals · HS 282520 · 202607

Lithium Hydroxide

Concentrated
  • China 99.9%
  • United States 0.1%
  • Japan 0.0%
99.9% China 99.9%
United States 0.1%
Japan 0%
Shipping origins observed
5
Effective routes
1
Observed through
Korea
Dropped Australia

관측 신고국 1/2 — 커버리지 제한

Strategic minerals · HS 850511 · 202607

Permanent Magnet

Concentrated
  • China 96.5%
  • Vietnam 2.8%
  • Japan 0.3%
  • Other origins 0.4%
96.5% China 96.5%
Vietnam 2.8%
Japan 0.3%
Other origins 0.4%
Shipping origins observed
6
Effective routes
1.1
Observed through
Korea

관측 신고국 1/2 — 커버리지 제한

Trade flows
Korea Customs Service and US Census Bureau — ref. 2026-07
Price benchmark
World Bank Pink Sheet — ref. 2026-07
News signal
GDELT, worldwide — updated 2026-09-25
01 Herbicide

Korea Specialty chemicals · Export · HS 380893

Herbicide: Australia accounts for 54.9% of demand.

  • Australia 20.5 → 54.9% +34.4pp
  • Japan 20.4 → 34.1% +13.7pp
  • Vietnam 1.2 → 10.6% +9.4pp
  • United States 56.6 → 0.0% -56.6pp
  • Other 1.3 → 0.4%

Previous quarter

20.5% Australia 20.5%
20.4% Japan 20.4%
Vietnam 1.2%
56.6% United States 56.6%
Other 1.3%

Vietnam 1.2% · Other 1.3%

Latest quarter

54.9% Australia 54.9%
34.1% Japan 34.1%
10.6% Vietnam 10.6%
Other 0.4%

Other 0.4%

Effective partners: 2.3 · Vietnam entered · United States exited

Export volume
-25%
Unit cost vs market index
-23pp
Movement index
0.575
Price disadvantage
02 Rare Earth

Korea Strategic minerals · Import · HS 280530

Rare Earth: China accounts for 45.7% of supply.

  • China 81.0 → 45.7% -35.3pp
  • Vietnam 17.5 → 42.5% +25pp
  • United States 1.3 → 11.6% +10.3pp
  • Other 0.2 → 0.2%

Previous quarter

81% China 81%
17.5% Vietnam 17.5%
United States 1.3%
Other 0.2%

United States 1.3% · Other 0.2%

Latest quarter

45.7% China 45.7%
42.5% Vietnam 42.5%
11.6% United States 11.6%
Other 0.2%

Other 0.2%

Effective partners: 2.5 · United States entered

In the news China
Import volume
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Unit cost vs market index
●●●
Movement index
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Figures and 24-month history Open with Pro
In line with market

The comparison is being prepared.

How to read this

Method

What moved

We compare the latest three months of trade against the three before it and rank inputs by how much the country mix changed. Small shifts do not make the brief.

You or the market

Unit costs are measured against the matching World Bank index, in percentage points. Rising with the market is normal. Rising while the market sits still is a finding.

What the data is

Customs records the last country of shipment, not the mine or plant of origin. Refining and transshipment hubs can appear as top origins, and we label them that way rather than calling them producers.

What we will not do

We do not estimate prices. Every figure traces to a customs declaration or a published index. Where the data is thin, we say so instead of filling the gap.

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